On January 25, 2017, President Trump signed an executive order (see Appendix A) that calls for the construction of a wall along the U.S. southern border to prevent illegal immigration from Mexico.
The executive order includes the following action: “Produce a comprehensive study of the security of the southern border, to be completed within 180 days of this order, […] to obtain and maintain complete operational control of the southern border.”
During the election campaign, Trump quantified that the cost of
Terrorist attacks in Europe are not a surprising event anymore. Every few weeks, another country in Europe finds itself under attack by terror. Germany, France, the UK, and Belgium are now all part of the global map of terror incidents. A stronger army and a higher defense budget cannot deal with “lone wolf” attacks or even the small core of closed groups found with in refugee compounds or suburbs.
The field in which Europe is really lacking power is Intelligence.
Islamic State Terror, Which is of Historical Proportions Will Lead to $22B in Homeland Security Infrastructure Spending by Middle Eastern States
The crisis in Iraq is tectonically important. Fighting between the Iraqi government and the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (now abbreviated, IS) is tearing Iraq apart. The conflict has the potential to transform the politics of the broader Middle East.
The new Islamic State now controls resources and territory unmatched in history of extremist organizations. It's a
NLW provide a less-lethal alternative between the options of "Shout and Shoot"
The asymmetric armed conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, the turmoil in the Arab world, violent events such as the August 2011 U.K. street riots, and the July 2014 Israeli-Hamas conflict continue and drive governments, police and defense establishment decision-makers to seek cost-effective NLW means. This increased demand will yield a $5.6B cumulative 2014-2020 Military Non-Lethal Weapons Market.
The U.S. Navy, for example, is kick-starting a new
Annual number of catastrophic floods and storms grew from 1970 to 2010 by more than 450%
According to recent reports (e.g., the UN, OECD, OFDA/CRED) the annual number of climate-related catastrophic hazards grew by more than 450% since 1970. Since 2010, more than 700 natural disasters have been registered worldwide, affecting more than 450 million people.
Source: The OFDA/CRED International Disasters Database (EM-DAT)
Approximately 75% of the world's population and half of the least developed countries are exposed to extreme events such
A performance knockout goes back to the jury because of public misconception of radiation
Security decision makers are faced with an almost unfair dilemma in choosing Whole Body Scanners enabling technology. On the one hand, MMWave technology has limited resolution and above all cannot detect intra-cavity smuggling (e.g., passengers hiding plastic bags containing drugs or explosives in their body cavities, terrorists' plans to use surgeries to implant explosives inside the body of would-be suicide aviation terrorists). On the other hand,
With the expected acquisition completion of Whole Body Scanners with Advanced Imaging Technology (AIT), the TSA would have installed 878 units across 140 U.S. airports. According to the U.S. Congress GAO, the total lifetime cost for these machines will be $3.5B. This means that the actual purchasing ex-factory unit price of approximately $170K represents less than 5% of the costs with the bulk 95% comprising of systems installation costs, TSA 24/7 screeners labor costs, training, upgrades and maintenance costs.
Out of the 2013 $17.4B global safe cities' market, China's $10.2B included $3.6B for procurement from foreign-based companies such as IBM, Cisco and Siemens.
Chinese Safe City Billboard. (Source: China Ministry of Interior)
According to China Safe City Technologies & Markets - 2013-2022 and the Global Homeland Security & Public Safety Market - 2014-2022 reports, China's safe city market (including planning, consulting services, systems procurement, integration & installation costs, maintenance and upgrades) will accumulate to $138B between 2013 & 2022 and
The combination of terror threat, the shortcomings of existing technologies and governments' willingness to spend, provide for a new fast growing Airport Security market in the coming decade
According to HSRC's latest report Global Homeland Security & Public Safety Market - 2014-2022, nearly 25% of current airport operating costs are related to the costs of purchasing and running security technologies (compared with only 8% pre-9/11). Despite these costly expenditures, the performance of these systems leaves much to be
Middle Eastern countries are responding to the ongoing turmoil with rapid spending on Homeland Security & Internal Security technologies. According to HSRC's latest report Global Homeland Security & Public Safety Market - 2015-2022, while in absolute terms spending of countries such as U.A.E., Kuwait and Saudi Arabia doesn't come close to the market leaders China and the U.S. (which are forecasted to maintain a 36% share of the 2013-2022 market), in relative terms of GDP share, the Middle Eastern
U.S. Embassy Security budget, 2012-2014 [$M]
The Global Homeland Security & Public Safety Market - 2014-2022 report reveals that in 2013 $112 billion (34%) of the Global HLS & Public Safety industry revenues came from the high gross margin service and upgrades business
Driven by Benghazi terror attack in 2012 and intelligence indicating terror attacks on embassies in the Middle East and Africa, the U.S. shut down 19 embassies in August of 2013. Aside from exposing the soft underbelly of
China Video Surveillance
By 2020, China is expected to have 6,100 km of urban rail lines and 120,000 km of rail network
The Chinese Mass Transportation market is a multibillion dollar market growing at a two digit CAGR. The market is characterized by a special thirst for state-of-the-art technologies (e.g., subway security sensor network ICT, C-3 software products) and high investments in workforce and visitor screening and surveillance.
To date, 36 cities in China have proposals to construct intercity urban rails,
China Video Surveillance, source (IBM)
China! - By the end of 2010, approximately 10 million cameras were installed in China as part of a nationwide buildup of an internal security infrastructure
City-wide deployments of 100,000-plus cameras in China are not uncommon, dwarfing even the largest European or U.S.A. “enterprise” projects. Chinese “Safe Cities” are rushing to construct their surveillance systems by fusing Internet, video surveillance cameras, cellphone, GPS location data, face recognition biometric databases and command & control centers. This growth
U.S. vs China Air Travel Growth Forecast 2011-2031
By 2031 China’s Air Passengers Traffic will be More Than 150% of the U.S. 2011 Traffic
With a population of 1.25 billion and an area of 3.7 million square miles (about the area of the U.S.A.), China is well suited for extensive use of air transportation. According to a forecast by Boeing, the 2012-2020 China air travel will grow 40% faster than global air travel. The tremendous air travel growth leads to immediate
Global Defense Video Analytics Market Share by Region [%] - 2011, 2020
Although the Defense, ISR & other security related video analytics market is currently dominated by the U.S., in the coming years the Asia-Pacific region is expected to sustain the fastest regional growth, biting into the U.S. market share. This growth is driven by India’s counter-terror investment and China’s internal security concerns. Within this region, some of the most lucrative business opportunities can be found in the critical infrastructure
Foreign companies in China
A significant number of products used in the Safe Cities projects are supplied by foreign based companies, (e.g., Cisco, IBM, Honeywell, Siemens, Toshiba, AGT). Specifically, foreign companies are the main suppliers of the high-end products and systems including state-of the-art IT, PSIM, PSAP, SaaS, EMNS, MSS and smart video cameras.
Given the $97 billion cumulative 2014-2020 China Safe City market, the foreign-based companies’ 31% market share translates to $30 billion in business opportunities over the next 7
Global Video Analytics
IVS, ISR and Video Analytics Process Trillions of Video Surveillance-Hours Footage Annually
By 2012, over 200 million video surveillance cameras deployed worldwide captured 1.6 trillion video-hours. Growing at a CAGR of 9-11%, captured video surveillance footage is forecasted to reach approximately 3.3 trillion video-hours by 2020. A hypothetical analysis assuming that 20% of the most critical video streams should have been reviewed by human operators, results in a (hypothetical) need to employ (in 2012) a workforce of over
Chinese Cities and Provinces Spending Billions on Safe Cities Projects
650 Chinese cities are rushing to construct their safe city platforms by fusing Internet, video surveillance cameras, cell phones, GPS location data and biometric technologies into central public safety meta-systems. A few examples include:
Sichuan Province is spending $4.2 billion on its safe city project including a network of 500,000 surveillance cameras.
Guangdong Province “Safe City Corridor” project will be based on a 1,000,000 camera surveillance systems at an estimated
China Urbanization Program
China is pushing ahead with its massive multi-trillion dollar plan to transfer 250 million (roughly the total urban population of the U.S.) rural residents into newly constructed cities. The goal of the plan is to decisively solve the rural-urban income gap by creating a prospering urban middle class of over 700 million people. This urbanization will supply low cost workforce and create a growing consumer demand for goods and services. Thus, this program is viewed as the
U.S. Homeland Security & Public Safety 2016 Market Shares [%] by Application
While the Aviation Security industry in the U.S. remains a multi-billion dollar market, it constitutes only a small fraction of actual spending by federal state and local governments. Although every new aviation event can create a surge in this market, by 2016 three other industry segments will share nearly 75% of the market: critical infrastructure security, first responders market and CBRN terror and hazmat & disease outbreak mitigation.