Afghanistan National Security Markets – 2011-2016

January 2011

 

Publication: Q1 2011, Pages: 250, Tables & Figures: 212

General Info

2011-2016 Market: $13.7 Billion

To train and equip the Afghani security forces is the cornerstone of the US led coalition strategy, driven by political pressure to ensure the coalition withdrawal plans. It is also driven by economical rational: while the funding of a single US and NATO soldier in Afghanistan costs approximately $1 million per annum, the cost of an ANSF soldier or police officer is less than $50,000 per annum. The Afghan military-security infrastructure is in need of everything from troops training, weapons, trucks and aircraft, to military communication gear,
C-3I systems and counter-IED technologies. The success of this initiative will dictate the course of the conflict and the depth and duration of U.S.-led coalition involvement.
According to our new market report, the cumulative 2011-2016 Afghan national security market is forecasted to reach $13-14 billion.

Along with analyzing the institutions, agencies and procurement services being developed, the report’s 250 pages and 212 tables and figures describe the market by:

  • Procurement Agencies Policies and Procedures: e.g., US Army Corps of Engineers, CERP, Afghanistan Security Forces Fund, ANA, ANP, Afghan private sector
  • Technology Needs and Challenges: e.g., Afghan-related training methods and technologies, counter-IED technologies, simplified systems
  • Afghan End Customers: Afghan government, ANA, ANP, Air Force, intelligence community and private sector

The report covers 103 sub-markets, including:

  • Light Weapons: e.g., Rifles, Machine Guns, Mortars, Ammunition
  • Artillery: e.g., Howitzers, Artillery, C3I
  • Military Vehicles: e.g., Armored Humvees, Ambulances, MRAPs, Medium Tactical Vehicles, Semi-Trailers, Pick-up Trucks
  • Critical Infrastructure Security: e.g., Utilities ,Transportation, Airports
  • Military Communications: e.g., Manpack Radios, Vehicle-Mounted Transceivers, Satellite Communications, Secure Voice/Data Systems
  • Counter-IED Equipment: e.g., Radio and I.R. Jammers, Robots
  • Maintenance, Upgrade and Refurbishing Services
  • Perimeter Security: e.g., Construction, Sensors, C-3I Systems
  • Information Technologies and Biometrics
  • Military & Police Training
  • ANA & ANP Facilities Construction
  • Air Force: e.g., Rotary and Fixed-wing Aircraft, Ground Support Systems
  • Intelligence: e.g., C3I, SIGINT, ITThe report offers for each sub-market 2010 market size, as well as 2011-2016 forecast and analysis.
Table of Contents

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Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary 16
1.1 Major Findings 16
1.2 Major Conclusions 24
1.3 Afghan National Security Organization 29
1.4 ANSF and Private Sector Security Market – 2011-2016 30
2 Scope, Methodology and Assumptions 35
2.1 Scope 35
2.2 Methodology 35
2.3 Terms of Reference 37
2.4 Scenario Assumptions 38
3 Market Analysis 39
3.1 Market Drivers 39
3.2 Market Inhibitors 40
3.3 Business Opportunities and Challenges 41
3.4 Market SWOT Analysis 42
3.5 Market Competitive Analysis 43
3.6 Market Dynamics 44
4 Afghanistan – Background 45
4.1 Country Profile 45
4.2 Ethnic Groups 46
4.3 The Political Structure 48
5 The Afghan Economy 50
5.1 The Afghan Economy at a Glance 50
5.2 Agriculture 51
5.3 Natural Resources 52
5.4 Infrastructure 53
5.5 Telecommunications 54
5.6 The Smuggling Economy 54
5.7 Economic Development 54
5.8 Foreign Aid 56
5.9 Local Procurement 58
5.1 Economic Development, Challenges 59
5.11 The Afghan Economy and Opium 60
6 Insurgency in Afghanistan 64
6.1 Afghani Insurgenency Groups 66
6.1.1 The Taliban 66
6.1.2 Haqqani Network 68
6.1.3 Hezb-E Islami Gulbuddin 69
6.2 Insurgency Strengths and Weaknesses 69
6.3 Insurgency Activity Trends 71
6.4 Afghani Civilian Casualties 71
6.5 Insurgency and Land Transportation 73
6.6 The role of IED Attacks 74
7 International Security Assistance Force 75
7.1 The ISAF activities 75
7.2 The ISAF Strength 75
7.3 ISAF Structure 77
7.4 US and ISAF Fatalities 78
7.5 ISRF Afghani and Regional Facilities 79
8 The Current US Strategy in Afghanistan 80
8.1 Key Goals 80
8.2 Lessons Learned 80
8.3 US and NATO Strategy: Priority Tasks 82
8.4 US Strategy in Pakistan 82
8.5 US Counter-Insurgency Tactics 83
9 Afghan National Security Organizations 84
9.1 Security Institutions 84
9.2 National Security Council 85
9.3 Ministry of Defense (MoD) 85
9.4 Ministry of Internal Affairs (MoI) 86
9.5 The Afghan National Police (ANP) 88
9.6 National Directorate of Security (NDS) 89
9.7 Afghan Government Security Missions 89
10 Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) – Market Background 92
10.1 Strength 92
10.2 Organizational Structure 92
10.3 Afghanistan Combined Security Transition Command 94
10.4 ANSF Funding 94
10.5 ANSF Salaries 95
10.6 ANSF Fatalities 96
10.7 ANSF Attrition 96
11 Afghan Government National Security Market – 2011-2016 98
11.1 ANA, ANP and Intel Community Markets – 2011-2016 98
12 The Afghan National Army (ANA) 100
12.1 Background 100
12.2 ANA Structure 103
12.3 ANA Recruiting and Retention 104
12.4 Combat Readiness Assessment 104
12.5 Ethnic and Factional Considerations 105
13 Afghan National Army (ANA) Market – 2011-2016 106
13.1 ANA Market – Background 106
13.2 ANA Market – 2011-2016 107
13.3 ANA Equipment Price List 108
14 Afghan National Air Force 110
14.1 Overview 110
14.2 Development Plan Through 2016 111
14.3 Air Force Facilities 112
15 Afghan National Air Force Market – 2011-2016 113
15.1 Fixed & Rotary Wing Aircrafts Market – 2011-2016 113
15.2 Air Force Auxiliary Equipment Market – 2011-2016 114
15.3 Air Force Service & Refurbishment Market – 2011-2016 115
15.4 Summary: Air Force Market – 2011-2016 116
16 The Afghan National Police (ANP) 117
16.1 Background 117
16.2 ANP Funding 120
16.3 ANP Recruiting and Retention 121
16.4 ANP Equipment 121
16.5 ANP Assessment 122
16.6 ANP Reform Programs 122
16.7 ANP “Focused District Development” Program 124
16.8 ANP Procurement Chain 125
17 Afghan National Police (ANP) Market – 2011-2016 126
17.1 ANP Itemized Price Lists 126
17.2 The Afghan National Police Market – 2011-2016 126
18 Afghan Intelligence Community 128
18.1 Scope 128
18.2 Major Findings 129
19 Afghan Intelligence Community Market – 2011-2016 130
19.1 Intelligence Community Market 130
19.2 Intelligence Community Command, Control and Communication Systems Market – 2011-2016 131
19.3 Intelligence Community SIGINT Equipment Market – 2011-2016 131
19.4 Intelligence Community Land Based Imagery Market – 2011-2016 132
19.5 Intelligence Community Information Technology Market – 2011-2016 132
19.6 Intelligence Community Other Equipment Market – 2011-2016 133
19.7 Intelligence Community Service & Refurbishment Market – 2011-2016 133
19.8 Summary: Intelligence Community Market – 2011-2016 135
20 Afghan Private Sector Homeland Security Market – 2011-2016 137
20.1 Background 137
20.2 Cost of Security 138
20.3 Afghan Private Sector Security Market – 2011-2016 140
21 Afghan National Security: Foreign Funding Agencies, Policies & Processes 141
21.1 Afghan Security Funding – Background 141
21.2 The “Afghanistan Security Forces Fund” 142
21.2.1 Policy and Procedures 142
21.2.2 Operations and Maintenance 144
21.3 Pseudo-Foreign Military Sales Procedures 145
21.4 Legal Provisions for Assisting the Afghan Security Forces 148
21.5 The Joint Contracting Command- Afghanistan (JCC-I/A) 149
21.6 US Security Forces Funding “CERP” 150
22 Light Weapons & Ammunition Market – 2011-2016 151
22.1 Market Background and Analysis 151
22.2 M16 Rifles Market – 2011-2016 152
22.3 Light Machine Gun Market – 2011-2016 152
22.4 Heavy Machine Guns Market – 2011-2016 153
22.5 Mortars, Grenade Launchers and Other Light Weapons Market – 2011-2016 153
22.5.1 Grenade Launchers 153
22.5.2 81mm Mortars 154
22.5.3 Other Light Weapons 154
22.5.4 Mortars & Other Light Weapons Market 154
22.6 Summary: Light Weapons Market – 2011-2016 155
22.7 Light Weapons Price List 158
23 Artillery Market – 2011-2016 160
23.1 155mm Howitzer Market – 2011-2016 160
23.2 Other Artillery Market – 2011-2016 161
23.3 Artillery: Auxiliary Equipment Market – 2011-2016 161
23.3.1 Fire Direction Centers 161
23.3.2 Artillery C-3I and Communication Equipment 161
23.3.3 Auxiliary Equipment Market 162
23.4 Summary: Artillery Market – 2011-2016 162
23.5 Artillery Price List 164
24 Military Wheeled Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 165
24.1 Humvee Market – 2011-2016 165
24.2 Armored Humvee Market – 2011-2016 166
24.3 Humvee Ambulances Market – 2011-2016 168
24.4 Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 168
24.5 Medium Tactical Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 170
24.6 Line Haul Tractor Market – 2011-2016 171
24.7 20-T Dump Truck Market – 2011-2016 172
24.8 Soft Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 173
24.9 Other ANA & ANP Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 173
24.1 Summary: Military Wheeled Vehicles Market – 2011-2016 173
24.11 ANA & ANP Vehicles Equipment Price List 175
25 Critical Infrastructure Security Market – 2011-2016 176
25.1 Scope 176
25.2 Afghanistan Infrastructure Background 177
25.2.1 Electric Utilities Infrastructure Security 177
25.2.2 Transportation Security 177
25.3 Utilities (Electric, Water & Gas) Infrastructure Security Market – 2011-2016 177
25.4 Land Transportation Infrastructure Security Market – 2011-2016 178
25.5 Airport Security Market – 2011-2016 178
25.6 Communication Infrastructure Security Market – 2011-2016 181
25.7 Other Critical Infrastruture Markets – 2011-2016 181
25.8 Summary: Critical Infrastructure Security Market – 2011-2016 182
26 ANA & ANP Communication Equipment Market – 2011-2016 184
26.1 Market Background 184
26.2 Manpack Squad Radios Market – 2011-2016 184
26.3 Vehicle-Mounted Tranceivers Market – 2011-2016 185
26.4 Satellite Monitoring and Intercept Systems Market – 2011-2016 186
26.5 Secure Voice/Data Equipment Market – 2011-2016 187
26.6 Switchboards Market – 2011-2016 187
26.7 Other Communication Gear Market – 2011-2016 188
26.8 Summary: Communication Equipment Market [$M] – 2011-2016 189
26.9 Communication Equipment Price List 191
27 Counter-IED Market Outlook – 2011-2016 192
27.1 IEDs in Afghanistan – Background 192
27.1.1 IEDs Incidents 192
27.1.2 “Passive Infrared” and Explosively Formed Projectile IEDs 194
27.1.3 IED Countermeasures 194
27.1.4 Radio IED Jammers – Triggers 195
27.2 Man-Portable IED Jammers Market – 2011-2016 196
27.3 Vehicle-Mounted Jammer Market – 2011-2016 196
27.4 Other Counter IED Equipment Market – 2011-2016 197
27.5 Summary: Counter-IED Market: Equipment Sales, Service and Refurbishment – 2011-2016 198
28 ANA & ANP Training Market – 2011-2016 200
28.1 ANSF Training Market Background 200
28.2 ANA Training Market Background 201
28.2.1 Training Organization 201
28.2.2 Training Programs 203
28.2.3 Training Centers 204
28.3 ANP Training Market Background 205
28.3.1 Organization 205
28.3.2 ANP Training Program 206
28.4 ANA & ANP Training Markets – 2011-2016 207
29 Perimeter Security Market – 2011-2016 209
29.1 Scope and Market Background 209
29.2 Perimeter Security Construction, Electronic Sensors & C3 Systems Market – 2011-2016 210
29.3 Perimeter Security Service Market – 2011-2016 211
30 Afghanistan Security-Related IT and Biometrics Market – 2011-2016 212
30.1 Scope 212
30.2 Internet and Mobile Communications: Background 213
30.3 Security IT & Biometrics Market – 2011-2016 214
30.3.1 Security IT Market 214
30.3.2 I.D. Cards Market 215
30.3.3 Security IT & Biometrics: Market Summary 215
31 ANA & ANP Facilities Construction Market – 2011-2016 217
32 Appendix A: Doing Business in Afghanistan 218
32.1 Introduction 218
32.2 Judicial and Regulatory Issues 220
32.3 Predictability of Government Policies and Actions 220
32.4 Corruption 220
32.5 Trade Policy and Trade Facilitation 221
32.6 Customs Administration 221
32.7 Trade Facilitation Services 222
32.8 The Afghan Informal Business Arrangements 222
32.9 Property Rights 224
32.1 Electricity and Infrastructure 226
32.11 Transportation 228
32.12 Telecommunications 229
32.13 Access to Land 230
32.14 Corruption 231
32.15 Skilled Labor Shortage 232
32.16 Legal and Regulatory Issues 233
32.17 Trade Policy 234
32.18 Cost of Shipping 236
32.19 Business Services 236
32.2 Starting a Business in Afghanistan 239
32.21 Protecting Investors 240
32.22 Paying Taxes 240
32.23 Enforcing Contracts 241
32.24 Key Government Agencies in Afghanistan 241
33 Appendix B: The 2010 White House Annual Review of Afghanistan and Pakistan 242
33.1 Background 242
33.2 Overall Assessment 242
33.3 Summary of Findings 243
33.3.1 Al-Qa’ida 243
33.3.2 Pakistan 244
33.3.3 Afghanistan 245
34 Appendix C: Acronyms and Abbreviations 247

List of Tables

 

Table 1 – Estimated US Afghani War Funding [$B]: FY-2001-FY-2011 22
Table 2 – Near-term ANSF Force Goals [Thousands] 28
Table 3 – ANSF and Private Sector Security Markets (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$Billion] – 2010-2016 30
Table 4 – Afghan Security Market (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$Million] by Sub-Markets – 2010-2016 32
Table 5 – Afghan Security Market (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) Market Share [%] by Sub-Markets – 2010-2016 34
Table 6 – Evolution of National Security Market Dynamics – 2011-2016 44
Table 7 – Nominal GDP, 2002 – 2010 50
Table 8 – Foreign Aid Pledged, Committed and Disbursed, 2002-2011 [$ Millions] 57
Table 9 – US and Coalition Troop Fatalities since October 7, 2001 78
Table 10 – Afghan and Regional Facilities Used for Operations in and Supply Lines to Afghanistan 79
Table 11 – MOI 2008-2013 Actions and Activities 87
Table 12 – The 2008-2013 Afghan Government Security Missions 89
Table 13 – The 2008-2013 Afghan Government Security Control Goals 91
Table 14 – Near-term ANSF Force Goals [thousands] 92
Table 15 – Combat Plans Division (CPD) Forces Pay Chart 95
Table 16 – Afghan National Army and Police Personnel Fatalities, 2007-2010 96
Table 17 – National Security Market [$ Billion] – 2011-2016 98
Table 18 – National Security Market Annual Growth [%] – 2011-2016 99
Table 19 – The Afghan National Army Market [$Billion] – 2010-2016 107
Table 20 – ANA Equipment Price Lists (2010) 108
Table 21 – Afghan National Air Force Facilities 112
Table 22 – Fixed & Rotary Wing Aircrafts Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 113
Table 23 – Air Force Auxiliary Equipment Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 114
Table 24 – Air Force Equipment Service & Refurbishment Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 115
Table 25 – Air Force Market (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$Million] – 2011-2016 116
Table 26 – The MOI & ANP Agencies 118
Table 27 – US-Funded Training and Equipment [$ Million] of the ANP – 2002-2011 120
Table 28 – ANP Equipment Price Lists – 2010 126
Table 29 – The ANP Market [$Billion] – 2011-2016 126
Table 30 – National Intelligence Community Market (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$Billion] – 2010-2016 130
Table 31 – Command, Control and Communication Systems Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 131
Table 32 – SIGINT Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 131
Table 33 – Land Based Imagery Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 132
Table 34 – Information Technology Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 132
Table 35 – Other Intelligence Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 133
Table 36 – Intelligence Community Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 133
Table 37 – Intelligence Community Equipment Market (Sales) [$Million] – 2010-2016 135
Table 38 – Private Sector Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 140
Table 39 – M-16 Assault Rifles and Ammunition Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 152
Table 40 – Light Machine Gun and Ammunition Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 152
Table 41 – Heavy Machine Gun and Ammunition Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 153
Table 42 – Mortars & Other Light Weapons and Ammunition Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 154
Table 43 – Light Weapons Hardware & Ammunition Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 155
Table 44 – Light Weapons Hardware Market by Weapon [$Million] – 2010-2016 156
Table 45 – Light Weapons Ammunition Market: by Weapon [$Million] – 2010-2016 156
Table 46 – Light Weapons Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 157
Table 47 – Light Weapons Service & Refurbishment – Annual Growth [%] – 2011-2016 158
Table 48 – Light Weapons Price List – 2010 158
Table 49 – 155mm Howitzer Projectiles 160
Table 50 – 155mm Howitzer Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 160
Table 51 – Other Artillery Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 161
Table 52 – Auxiliary Artillery Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 162
Table 53 – Artillery Market Sales by Equipment [$Million] – 2010-2016 162
Table 54 – Artillery Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 163
Table 55 – Artillery Price List – 2010 164
Table 56 – Humvee Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 166
Table 57 – Armored Humvee Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 167
Table 58 – Humvees Ambulances Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 168
Table 59 – MRAP Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 169
Table 60 – FMTV Troop Carrying Capacities 171
Table 61 – Medium Tactical Vehicles Market [$M] – 2010-2016 171
Table 62 – Line Haul Tractor Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 172
Table 63 – 20-T Dump Truck Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 172
Table 64 – Soft Vehicles Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 173
Table 65 – Other ANA & ANP Vehicles Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 173
Table 66 – ANA & ANP Vehicles Market (Sales) [$Million] – 2010-2016 173
Table 67 – ANA & ANP Vehicles Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 174
Table 68 – ANA & ANP Vehicles Price List – 2010 175
Table 69 – Utilities Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 177
Table 70 – Land Transportation Infrastructure Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 178
Table 71 – Afghanistan International, Local and Military Airports 180
Table 72 – Airport Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 180
Table 73 – Communication Infrastructure Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 181
Table 74 – Other Critical Infrastructure Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 181
Table 75 – Critical Infrastructure Protection Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 182
Table 76 – Critical Infrastructure Protection Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 183
Table 77 – ANA PRC-5 Manpack Radio Transceiver & Option Prices 185
Table 78 – Manpack Radio Transceivers Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 185
Table 79 – Vehicle-Mounted Integrated Radio Transceivers Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 186
Table 80 – Satellite Monitoring and Intercept System Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 186
Table 81 – Secure Voice/Data Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 187
Table 82 – Switchboards Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 187
Table 83 – Other Communication Gear Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 188
Table 84 – Communication Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 189
Table 85 – Communication Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 190
Table 86 – Communication Equipment Price List – 2010 191
Table 87 – Man-Portable IED Jammers Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 196
Table 88 – Vehicle-Mounted Jammer Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 196
Table 89 – Other Counter-IED Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 197
Table 90 – Counter-IED Equipment Sales [$Million] – 2010-2016 198
Table 91 – Counter-IED Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 199
Table 92 – ANA Training Programs 203
Table 93 – Security Forces Training Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 207
Table 94 – Perimeter Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 210
Table 95 – Perimeter Security Service Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 211
Table 96 – Afghan Internet and Mobile Communications Data 213
Table 97 – Security IT Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 214
Table 98 – I.D. Cards (Biometric & Non-Biometric) Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 215
Table 99 – Security IT & Biometrics Market (sales) [$Million] – 2011-2016 215
Table 100 – Security IT & Biometrics Service & Refurbishment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 216
Table 101 – ANA & ANP Facilities Construction Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 217
Table 102 – Doing Business in Afghanistan 238
Table 103 – Starting a Business in Afghanistan 239
Table 104 – Doing Business in Afghanistan: Hiring & Firing Workers 239
Table 105 – Doing Business in Afghanistan: Registering Property 239
Table 106 – Doing Business in Afghanistan: Protecting Investors 240
Table 107 – Doing Business in Afghanistan: Paying Taxes 240
Table 108 – Doing Business in Afghanistan: Enforcing Contracts 241

List of Figures

 

Figure 1 – US funding [$Million] to Train and Equip the ANA and ANP – 2002-2011 17
Figure 2 – The Obama Administration Afghanistan Security Strategy 20
Figure 3 – US Troops in Afghanistan and Iraq, 2001-2010 21
Figure 4 – Causes of Death of U.S. Troops in 2010 22
Figure 5 – Afghanistan vs. Iraq: DOD 2002 – 2011 SWOT funding [$Billion] 23
Figure 6 – Afghan National Security Organizational Chart 29
Figure 7 – ANSF and Private Sector Security Markets (Equipment, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$Billion] – 2010-2016 31
Figure 8 – The Afghani National Security Market Share [%] by End User Sector – 2011 & 2016 31
Figure 9 – Afghan Security Market (Equipment Sales, Consumables, Service & Refurbishment) [$ Million] by Sub-Markets – 2010-2016 33
Figure 10 – Afghan Homeland Security Market [%] by Sub-Markets – 2010 & 2016 34
Figure 11 – The Afghan National Security ANA and ANP Interplay 38
Figure 12 – Afghani National Security Market SWOT Analysis 42
Figure 13 – Afghani National Security Market – Competitive Analysis 43
Figure 14 – Afghanistan “At a Glance” 45
Figure 15 – Map of Afghanistan 46
Figure 16 – Afghanistan’s Ethnic Groups by Geography 47
Figure 17 – Afghanistan government Structure 49
Figure 18 – District Level Development Assessment, March 2010 55
Figure 19 – The Plan for Kabul’s $9 Billion Modern Urban Development Project 56
Figure 20 – Breakdown of US 2002-2009 Cumulative Support to Afghanistan by Sector 56
Figure 21 – Annual Opium Production in Afghanistan (Metric Tons) and Percentage of Global Production, 1990-2010 61
Figure 22 – UNODC Expected Opium Cultivation Level in 2010 62
Figure 23 – Geo-correlation Between Opium Trade and Security 62
Figure 24 – Insurgent Areas of Operation in Afghanistan 65
Figure 25 – The Taliban Flag 66
Figure 26 – Number of Insurgent attacks/week By Type 2004-Q2,2010 71
Figure 27 – Estimated Yearly Civilian Fatalities as Result of Fighting Between Pro-Government Forces and Armed Opposition Groups (AOG), 2006-June 2010 72
Figure 28 – Land Transportation 73
Figure 29 – IED Events 2004-2010 74
Figure 30 – US Troops count: 2001 – 1.1. 2011 76
Figure 31 – Total NATO-ISAF Manpower by Regional Command 77
Figure 32 – US and Coalition Troop Fatalities – 2001-2010 78
Figure 33 – The US and NATO Strategy: Priority Tasks 82
Figure 34 – The Afghani Security Forces Organizational Structure 93
Figure 35 – US Support [$Million] to Train and Equip the ANA and ANP – 2002-2011 94
Figure 36 – Attrition Rates among ANSF 97
Figure 37 – National Security Market [$Billion] – 2011-2016 99
Figure 38 – Map of the ANA Corps Deployment 100
Figure 39 – ANA Monthly Strength, 2009- 2010 101
Figure 40 – ANA Annual Growth, By Number of Troops, 2003-2010 102
Figure 41 – The ANA Organization Chart 103
Figure 42 – ANA Unit CM Levels Progress Goals 105
Figure 43 – The Afghan National Army Market [$Billion] – 2010-2016 107
Figure 44 – Fixed & Rotary Wing Aircrafts Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 113
Figure 45 – Air Force Auxiliary Equipment Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 114
Figure 46 – Air Force Equipment Service & Refurbishment Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 115
Figure 47 – Air Force Market [$Million] – 2011-2016 116
Figure 48 – The Afghan Ministry of Interior 117
Figure 49 – ANP Monthly End Strength, 2009- 2010 119
Figure 50 – The ANP Organization Chart 120
Figure 51 – District AUP and Specialized Unit CM Levels 122
Figure 52 – The ANP Reform Strategy 124
Figure 53 – The ANP Market [$Billion] – 2011-2016 127
Figure 54 – National Intelligence Community Market [$Billion] – 2010-2016 130
Figure 55 – Intelligence Community Equipment Service & Refurbishment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 134
Figure 56 – Intelligence Community Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 136
Figure 57 – Private Sector Security Cost [% of revenues] Afghanistan vs. Other Countries 139
Figure 58 – Private Sector Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 140
Figure 59 – Ammunition Supply Points in Herat 141
Figure 60 – Weapons Arriving at ANA Depot and Destined for the Warehouse 142
Figure 61 – DOD Weapons Change of Custody Process 143
Figure 62 – Process for Weapons Provided to ANSF by the USA & International Donors 145
Figure 63 – Afghan National Security Forces Fund Pseudo-FMS Process 147
Figure 64 – Production Line of an Afghan ANA/ANP Footwear Manufacturer 150
Figure 65 – U.S.-Procured Weapons Shipped to Afghanistan for the ANA and ANP – 2005- Q2/2008 151
Figure 66 – ANA .50 Cal. Machine Gun Training 153
Figure 67 – Light Weapons Hardware & Ammunition Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 155
Figure 68 – Light Weapons Hardware Market: by Weapon [$Million] – 2010-2016 156
Figure 69 – Light Weapons Ammunition by Weapon Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 157
Figure 70 – Light Weapons Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 158
Figure 71 – Artillery Market: by Equipment [$Million] – 2010-2016 163
Figure 72 – Artillery Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 163
Figure 73 – Armored and Non-armored Humvees Configurations and Timeline 165
Figure 74 – MRAP Hit by a Large IED, the Crew Survived 169
Figure 75 – ANA & ANP Vehicles Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 174
Figure 76 – ANA & ANP Vehicles Service & Refurbishment Markets [$Million] – 2010-2016 174
Figure 77 – Aviation Security Threats, Means and Targets 179
Figure 78 – Critical Infrastructure Protection Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 183
Figure 79 – Critical Infrastructure Protection Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 183
Figure 80 – The SB-3865 Switchboard. 187
Figure 81 – Communication Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 190
Figure 82 – Communication Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 191
Figure 83 – IED Incidents in Afghanistan. 193
Figure 84 – Man-portable IED Jammers 195
Figure 85 – Cell Phone IED Triggering Device 195
Figure 86 – South African-built Buffalo stands by to investigate a suspected IED that was spotted along the shoulder of a highway 196
Figure 87 – Counter-IED Equipment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 198
Figure 88 – Counter-IED Equipment Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 199
Figure 89 – US ETT Personnel Required and Assigned, August – 2007-2013 200
Figure 90 – ISAF OMLTs – June 2007-2013 200
Figure 91 – ANA Training Organization 202
Figure 92 – Afghan National Army (ANA) Leader Training 202
Figure 93 – Security Forces Training Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 208
Figure 94 – Perimeter Security Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 210
Figure 95 – ANP II.D. Cards at MOI’s HQ 213
Figure 96 – Workstation Used to Process Identification Card by the MOI 213
Figure 97 – Security IT: Systems Sales, Service & Refurbishment [$Million] – 2010-2016 214
Figure 98 – Security IT & Biometrics Market (sales) [$Million] – 2010-2016 216
Figure 99 – Security IT & Biometrics Service & Refurbishment Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 216
Figure 100 – US Army Corps of Engineers – Afghan Construction Web Billboard 217
Figure 101 – ANA & ANP Facilities Construction Market [$Million] – 2010-2016 217
Figure 102 – Average Unofficial “Payments” as a % of Sales 231
Figure 103 – Percentage of Establishments Offering Formal Training 232
Figure 104 – Number of Days for Goods to Clear Customs 235
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