U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Technologies & Markets – 2010-2014
| August 2009 |
Publication: Q3 2009, Pages: 114, Figures: 53, Tables: 30
General Information

The predicted death of the X-ray explosives screening market appears to have been pre-mature.
In its report, Homeland Security Research Corporation forecasts that the market for modern X-Ray systems, upgrades and post warranty service will grow from $370 Million in 2008 to $735 in 2014 at a CAGR of over 12%.
In this report, HSRC:
1. Discusses the economic factors impacting seven sub-markets:
- Air cargo on scheduled passengers flights screening
- Airport-cabin baggage screening
- Secured facilities screening
- Postal items screening
- Supply chain cargo screening
- 1st responders bomb search
- Other x-ray explosives screening markets
2. Identifies the drivers propelling this growth, including:
- White House-mandated deployment of state-of-the-art X-ray systems at airports;
- $1.05 billion earmarked in the “2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” for the purchase and installation of explosives detection technologies over the next 3 years;
- $1.57 billion of the TSA’s $8.03 billion FY2010 budget is intended for the purchase and installation of explosives detection systems (i.e., ETD, EDS, X-Ray systems);
- Failure to develop new, competitive modalities;
3. Analyzes the market dynamics ,opportunities and competitive environment
- Seven end-customer sub-markets
- Systems markets and post warranty system upgrade & service markets
- Present and future technologies (e. g., Multi-Pixel X-Ray sources, Fused modalities Multi- Thread systems , Dual-Energy X-Ray ,, coherent scatter X-Ray, Backscatter X-Ray, Variable view X-Ray)
- Business Opportunities by Threats & Vulnerabilities – (e.g., Fused technologies systems, Multi-Threat systems)
- Market Drivers & Inhibitors
Table of Content
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| 1. Scope | 14 |
| 1.1. Basic Assumptions | 14 |
| 1.1.1. Is There a Threat? | 14 |
| 1.1.2. Possible Scenario Analysis | 15 |
| 1.1.3. Additional Assumptions | 16 |
| 1.2. Methodology | 16 |
| 1.2.1. Research Methods | 16 |
| 1.2.2. Report Structure | 17 |
| 1.2.3. Who Is This Report For? | 17 |
| 2. Executive Summary | 18 |
| 2.1. Major Findings | 18 |
| 2.2. Major Conclusions | 21 |
| 2.3. The Economic Slowdown Impact on the Market | 22 |
| 2.3.1. Economic Downturn Impacts on the X-Ray Screening Market | 22 |
| 2.3.2. Economy Downturn Impacts on X-Ray Screening Sub-markets | 23 |
| 2.4. 2D X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Market Outlook: 2010-2014 | 25 |
| 3. Market Drivers | 29 |
| 4. Market Inhibitors | 30 |
| 5. Current 2D X-Ray Technologies | 31 |
| 5.1. Explosive Materials Classification | 31 |
| 5.2. Explosives Screening Modalities | 33 |
| 5.2.1. X-Ray vs. ETD and EDS Modalities | 35 |
| 5.3. 2D X-Ray Technologies | 35 |
| 5.3.1. X-Ray Systems – Principles of Operation | 37 |
| 5.3.2. Innocuous Materials Interference | 38 |
| 5.3.3. Conventional 2D X-Ray | 39 |
| 5.3.4. Dual Energy X-Ray | 40 |
| 5.3.5. Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray | 42 |
| 5.3.6. Variable-View X-Ray | 43 |
| 5.3.7. Backscatter Screening X-Ray | 44 |
| 5.3.8. Coherent Scatter 2D X-Ray | 46 |
| 5.3.9. Threat Image Projection (TIP) | 47 |
| 5.4. X-Ray Technologies: Performance Comparison | 47 |
| 5.5. Explosives Screening Technologies: Price Comparison | 48 |
| 6. 2D X-Ray: TSA Product Certification | 49 |
| 7. X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014 | 50 |
| 7.1. Air Cargo Screening | 50 |
| 7.2. Airport Cabin Baggage Screening | 53 |
| 7.3. Secured Facilities Explosives Screening | 57 |
| 7.3.1. Secured Federal Facilities | 57 |
| 7.4. Postal Items Explosives Screening | 61 |
| 7.5. Supply Chain Cargo Explosives Screening | 64 |
| 7.6. 1st Responders X-Ray Equipment | 68 |
| 7.7. Other X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems | 71 |
| 8. Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014 | 75 |
| 9. Technology Outlook: 2010-2014 | 78 |
| 9.1. Fused X-Ray and ETD | 78 |
| 9.2. Fused X-Ray Screening and RFID | 78 |
| 9.3. Air-Cargo Containers Screening | 78 |
| 9.4. Multi-Threat Multi-Modal Systems | 78 |
| 9.5. Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scattering 2D X-Ray | 79 |
| 9.6. Stereoscopic X-Ray Imaging | 80 |
| 9.7. Multi-Pixel X-Ray Sources | 82 |
| 10. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges | 84 |
| 10.1. Introduction | 84 |
| 10.2. Remote Tele-Interpretation | 87 |
| 10.3. Medium Capacity Multi-Threat Screening Systems | 88 |
| 10.4. Upgraded Multi Threat Screening System | 88 |
| 10.5. Fused Technology Screening Systems With RFID and Risk Assessment Infrastructure | 89 |
| 10.6. Third Party Service | 89 |
| 11. Appendix A: DHS Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems | 90 |
| 12. Appendix B: TSA Glossary | 98 |
List of Tables
| Table 1 – USA Potential Targets Requiring Explosives Detection Screening |
| Table 2 – Economic Recession Impacts on X-Ray Explosives Detection Sub-markets |
| Table 3 – U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 4 – U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [$ Million] – 2010-2014 |
| Table 5 – U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection system Market [$ Million] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 6 – EDS, ETD and 2D X-Ray Technologies – Pros and Cons |
| Table 7 – Explosives, Drugs, and Common X-Ray “Interruption” Materials |
| Table 8 – Comparison of X-Ray Detection Technologies |
| Table 9 – Price Comparison of Bulk Explosives Screening Technologies |
| Table 10 – U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 11 – Air Cargo X-Ray Screening Market [Unit] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 12 – U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 13 – U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 14 – U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Screening Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 15 – U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 16 – U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook – 2008-2014 |
| Table 17 – U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 18 – U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 19 – U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 20 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 21 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 22 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 23 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] – 2008-2014 |
| Table 24 – U.S. X-ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Sub-Markets [$Million] Outlook: 2008-2014 |
| Table 25 – Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008-2014 |
| Table 26 – Pros and Cons of Multi-modal Technology |
| Table 27 – Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems |
| Table 28 – Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems – Continued |
| Table 29 – Characterization of X-Ray Explosives Screening Systems – Continued |
| Table 30 – Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems – Continued |
List of Figures
| Figure 1 – Airport Explosives Threat Vectors |
| Figure 2 – Cabin Bags Screening In the Ensemble of Airport Security Means |
| Figure 3 – X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] – 2010-2014 |
| Figure 4 – X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [%] by Sub-market: 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 5 – U.S. X-Ray Explosives detection Systems Sales and Service Market Fragmentation [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 6 – Explosive Materials Classification |
| Figure 7 – Major Explosives Detection Technologies: Bulk vs. Trace |
| Figure 8 – X-Ray Conveyor-Based Screening Systems – Principles of Operation |
| Figure 9 – Conventional X-Ray |
| Figure 10 – Dual Energy X-Ray |
| Figure 11 – Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-Ray |
| Figure 12 – Dual Energy Z Map |
| Figure 13 – Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray |
| Figure 14 – Variable-View X-Ray Option |
| Figure 15 – Backscatter Cargo Screening X-Ray |
| Figure 16 – Coherent X-Ray Scheme |
| Figure 17 – U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 18 – U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 19 – U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 20 – U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Market Share [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 21 – U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 22 – Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 23 – U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units] |
| Figure 24 – Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market Share [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 25 – Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008 -2014 |
| Figure 26 – Secured Facilities X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 27 – U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 28 – U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] |
| Figure 29 – U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 30 – Postal Items X-ray Systems and Service Market [%] Structure – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 31 – U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 32 – U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] - |
| Figure 33 – U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 34 – Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 35 – U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 36 – U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 37 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 38 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 39 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 40 – U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Share [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 41 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 42 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 43 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] |
| Figure 44 – U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detectors Share [%] – 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 45 – U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market [$ Million] – 2008-2014 |
| Figure 46 – Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008 & 2014 |
| Figure 47 – Fused Modality Multi Threat (Explosives & Nuclear) Screening System |
| Figure 48 – 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Camera and Images |
| Figure 49 – 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Luggage Inspection Scheme |
| Figure 50 – DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions |
| Figure 51 – TSA RDT&E Strategic Vision |
| Figure 52 – The 2D X-Ray Performance Criteria |
| Figure 53 – Remote Cargo Tele-Screening |
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