US Tomographic Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) Technologies & Markets 2010 – 2014

Publication: 06/2009, Pages: 170, Figures: 55, Tables: 48

General Information

US Tomographic Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) Technologies & Markets 2010 - 2014

Driven by the Obama administration’s “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009″ and by Congressional pressure to attain – at long last – 100% screening of cargo on scheduled passengers flight, the US Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) market, which declined and stagnated during the 2004-2008 period, is poised to experience a double-digit CAGR over the 2010-2014 period.

The new report analyzes the market through several aspects:

  • Equipment Market
  • Refurbishing and Upgrade Market
  • EDS Baggage Handling System
  • EDS Installation and Replacement Market

By Market Sector

  • Checked-Luggage Screening
  • Air Cargo Screening
  • Hand-Held Baggage Screening

The report presents business opportunities, as well as pipeline EDS products and technologies that should address future requirement of the TSA.

Table of Content

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Table of Content
1. Scope 17
1.1. Basic Assumptions 17
1.1.1. Is There a Threat? 17
1.1.2. Possible Scenario Analysis 18
1.1.3. Additional Assumptions 19
1.2. Methodology 19
1.2.1. Research Methods 19
1.2.2. Report Structure 20
1.2.3. Who Is This Report For? 20
2. Executive Summary 21
2.1. Major Findings 21
2.2. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook – 2010-2014 25
2.3. Luggage and Air-Cargo Screening Technologies 28
2.4. EDS Enhanced Air-Cargo Screening Outlook 29
3. EDS Market – Drivers 31
4. EDS Market – Inhibitors 32
5. Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on EDS Market 33
6. Current EDS Technologies 35
6.1. Background 35
6.2. Explosive Materials Classification 36
6.3. Current Luggage, Carry-on Bags and Parcel Screening Technologies 38
6.4. Bulk Screening – Current Technologies 38
6.4.1. Current Bulk Threat Detection Systems’ Pros and Cons 38
6.4.2. Throughput 39
6.4.3. Present Tomographic EDS Technologies 40
6.4.4. Threat Image Projection (TIP) 46
6.4.5. Coherent Scatter EDS 46
6.5. Luggage Screening 48
6.5.1. Luggage Screening Systems Categories 48
6.5.2. Existing Luggage Screening Systems Deployment Strategy 49
6.5.3. Covert Testing Procedures of EDS Screened Checked Luggage 51
6.5.4. S&T Directorate Actions in Luggage Screening 52
6.6. Carry-on Bag Screening 53
6.7. Air Cargo Screening 54
6.7.1. Background 54
6.7.2. Cargo Security Policy 56
6.7.3. TSA Air Cargo Security Technology Pilot Tests 60
6.7.4. Evaluating Air Cargo EDS Technology 60
6.7.5. The Cost of 100% Air Cargo Screening 61
7. The Transportation Security Administration 63
8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations 66
8.1.1. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 1: High-Volume In-Line 66
8.1.2. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 2: Medium-Volume In-Line 69
8.1.3. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 3: Mini In-line Checked Luggage Screening System 71
8.1.4. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 4: Stand-Alone EDS 75
8.1.5. Checked Luggage Screening Configuration – 5: Stand-Alone ETD (w/o EDS) 77
8.1.6. Alarm Resolution 78
9. EDS Certification 79
10. Checked Luggage Screening Design Methodology 80
10.1. Screening Zones Categorization 80
10.2. Checked Luggage Screening Projects TSA Funding 81
10.2.1. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Eligible for TSA Funding 81
10.2.2. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Non- Eligible TSA Funded Projects 81
10.2.3. The TSA Facility Modification Project Prioritization 81
11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook – 2010-2014 82
11.1. EDS Market Forecast – 2010-2014 82
11.1.1. EDS Equipment Purchasing Prices 82
11.1.2. EDS Equipment Market Outlook – 2010-2014 83
11.1.3. EDS Equipment Market Forecast – 2010-2014 84
11.2. EDS Installation Costs Forecast – 2010-2014 87
11.2.1. EDS Installation Costs 87
11.2.2. EDS Installation Market Forecast – 2010-2014 88
11.3. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast – 2010-2014 89
11.3.1. Screening Equipment Refurbishment and Upgrade Costs 89
11.3.2. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast – 2010-2014 91
11.4. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Market Forecast – 2010-2014 93
11.4.1. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Costs 93
11.4.2. EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications Market Forecast 94
11.5. EDS Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 97
11.5.1. EDS Service Costs 97
11.5.2. EDS Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 98
11.6. Baggage Handling Systems [BHS] Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 100
11.6.1. Incremental Baggage Handling System Service Costs 100
11.6.2. Baggage Handling Systems Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 100
11.7. EDS Equipment Replacement Costs 102
12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data 103
12.1. Analogic – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data 103
12.2. GE – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data 104
12.3. L-3 – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data 105
12.4. Reveal – Tomographic EDS: Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data 106
13. EDS Pricing Trends – 2010-2014 107
14. EDS Technology Outlook – 2010-2014 108
14.1. The Manhattan II Program 108
14.2. 2009-2011 Pipeline EDS Products & Technologies 108
14.3. Rapiscan High-Speed Stationary EDS 109
14.4. Liquid and Homemade Explosives Detection 110
14.5. MagVis Distinguishes Potential-Threat Liquids 111
14.6. Superconducting Quantum Interference Device (SQUID) 112
14.7. Quasi Tomographic EDS – 3D X-ray 114
14.8. Gamma Resonance Tomography (GRT) 115
14.9. Advanced Coherent X-ray Scattering EDS 117
15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges 119
15.1. Introduction 119
15.2. Business Opportunity #1 122
15.3. Business Opportunity #2 122
15.4. Business Opportunity #3 123
15.5. Business Opportunity #4 123
15.6. Business Opportunity #5 123
16. EDS Vendors 124
16.1. GE Security and Sagem Sécurité (SAFRAN) 124
16.2. Analogic Corporation 126
16.3. L-3 Communications Security & Detection Systems 129
16.4. Reveal Imaging Technologies, Inc 130
16.5. Rapiscan Security Products, Inc. 133
17. Appendix A: TSA Air Cargo Facility Regulations 134
17.1. Introduction to Cargo Security 134
17.2. Airport – Cargo Processing Facilities 134
17.3. Operational Considerations 134
17.4. Access Control Considerations 135
17.5. Information and Requirement Resources 136
18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems 137
18.1. Background 137
18.2. Applicable Regulations 137
18.3. Protocols and Concept of Operations 138
18.4. ETD and EDS Key Performance Characteristics 138
19. Appendix C: Patent Review 140
19.1. Scope 140
19.2. Scatter & Coherent X-ray Patents Review 140
19.3. Tomographic EDS Patent Review 147
19.4. Luggage Inspection Infrastructure Patent Review 152
20. Appendix D: Glossary 156

List of Tables

Table 1 – USA Potential Targets Requiring EDS Screening
Table 2 – US EDS Related Markets [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 3 – US EDS Related Markets [$Million] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 4 – Current Explosives Detection Bulk Technologies – Pros and Cons
Table 5 – Explosives, Drugs, and Common “Interruption” Innocuous Materials
Table 6 – TSA Budget [$Million] and Its Aviation Security Component – 2001-2008
Table 7 – TSA Budget Structure
Table 8 – Potential High-Volume EDS Machines – Equipment Assumptions
Table 9 – Potential Medium-Volume EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 10 – Potential Mini In-Line EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 11 – Potential Stand Alone EDS Machines – Equipment Assumptions
Table 12 – Potential ETD Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 13 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Analogic
Table 14 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: GE
Table 15 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: L-3
Table 16 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Reveal
Table 17 – EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Table 18 – EDS Equipment Market Share [%] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 19 – Components of Direct Installation Costs
Table 20 – Direct EDS & ETD Equipment Installation Cost by System Type
Table 21 – EDS Installation Market [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 22 – Revenues from Installation of Tomographic EDS in the US [%] – 2008-2014
Table 23 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – Analogic
Table 24 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – GE
Table 25 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – L-3
Table 26 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – Reveal
Table 27 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 28 – EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application – 2008-2014
Table 29 – Average Cost of Facility Modifications and Infrastructure by EDS & ETD Configuration
Table 30 – EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market – 2008-2014
Table 31 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008-2014
Table 32 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – Analogic
Table 33 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – GE
Table 34 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – L-3
Table 35 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – Reveal
Table 36 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 37 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Table 38 – Annual 1 Baggage Handling System Service Costs by Configuration
Table 39 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Table 40 – Baggage Handling System Service Market [%] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 41 – Infrastructure Modification Costs for EDS Replacement by Configuration
Table 42 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – Analogic
Table 43 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – GE
Table 44 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – L-3
Table 45 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – Reveal
Table 46 – Expected Availability Date of Pipeline EDS Products
Table 47 – ETD Geometrical & Power Consumption Specification Characteristics
Table 48 – EDS Baggage Size & Weight Specifications


List of Figures

Figure 1 – Airport Explosives Threats Vectors
Figure 2 – Air-Cargo Screening & Checked Luggagge Screening in the Ensemble of Airport Security Means
Figure 3 – Schematic Diagram of Checked Luggage Screening Levels
Figure 4 – Tomographic EDS Related Markets [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 5 – US Air Cargo and Other EDS Related Markets Outlook [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 6 – Pam Am 103 – Lockerbie, Scotland
Figure 7 – Explosive Materials Classification
Figure 8 – Tomographic EDS Principle of Operation
Figure 9 – “Classic” Whole-Object EDS Scheme
Figure 10 – Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-ray
Figure 11 – Dual Energy Z Map
Figure 12 – The Analogic XLB1100, Dual Energy Inline Large Bore EDS
Figure 13 – The GE CTX Machine
Figure 14 – Coherent X-ray Scheme
Figure 15 – Luggage-Parcel Screening and Explosives Detection Technologies
Figure 16 – “100% Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
Figure 17 – “Fractional Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
Figure 18 – US Air Cargo Shipments: FAA Historic Data and Forecast (FY1999-FY2020)
Figure 19 – Flow of Cargo from Shipper to Air Carrier
Figure 20 – Screening Air Cargo Using Explosives Trace Detection and Loading It onto Passenger Aircraft
Figure 21 – TSA Organizational Model
Figure 22 – TSA 2008 Budget [%] Structure – 2008
Figure 23 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 1
Figure 24 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -2
Figure 25 – Schematic Visualization of a Mini in-Line System
Figure 26 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -3 Mini In-Line System with Light Integration
Figure 27 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – a Stand-Alone EDS
Figure 28 – Schematic Visualization of a Stand-Alone ETD System
Figure 29 – EDS Throughput [BPH] vs. System Price [$K]
Figure 30 – EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 31 – EDS Equipment Sales Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 32 – EDS Installation Market [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 33 – EDS Market [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 34 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 35 – EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 36 – EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market – 2008-2014
Figure 37 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 38 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 39 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 40 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 41 – Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 42 – Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS
Figure 43 – Stationary Gantry EDS
Figure 44 – The RTT Prototype X-ray Source
Figure 45 – The RTT EDS Prototype
Figure 46 – MagVis Images
Figure 47 – ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline
Figure 48 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Camera and Images
Figure 49 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
Figure 50 – EDS-GRT – System Configuration
Figure 51 – EDS-GRT – Air Cargo Container Inspection
Figure 52 – EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration
Figure 53 – DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
Figure 54 – Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E
Figure 55 – The EDS Performance Criteria 2008-2014
Figure 37 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 38 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 39 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 40 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 41 – Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 42 – Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS
Figure 43 – Stationary Gantry EDS
Figure 44 – The RTT Prototype X-ray Source
Figure 45 – The RTT EDS Prototype
Figure 46 – MagVis Images
Figure 47 – ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline
Figure 48 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Camera and Images
Figure 49 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
Figure 50 – EDS-GRT – System Configuration
Figure 51 – EDS-GRT – Air Cargo Container Inspection
Figure 52 – EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration
Figure 53 – DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
Figure 54 – Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E
Figure 55 – The EDS Performance Criteria

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