US Tomographic Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) Technologies & Markets 2010 – 2014
| June 2009 | Print This Article
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Publication: 06/2009, Pages: 170, Figures: 55, Tables: 48

Driven by the Obama administration’s “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009″ and by Congressional pressure to attain – at long last – 100% screening of cargo on scheduled passengers flight, the US Explosives Detection Systems (EDS) market, which declined and stagnated during the 2004-2008 period, is poised to experience a double-digit CAGR over the 2010-2014 period.
The new report analyzes the market through several aspects:
- Equipment Market
- Refurbishing and Upgrade Market
- EDS Baggage Handling System
- EDS Installation and Replacement Market
By Market Sector
- Checked-Luggage Screening
- Air Cargo Screening
- Hand-Held Baggage Screening
The report presents business opportunities, as well as pipeline EDS products and technologies that should address future requirement of the TSA.
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| 1. Scope | 17 |
| 1.1. Basic Assumptions | 17 |
| 1.1.1. Is There a Threat? | 17 |
| 1.1.2. Possible Scenario Analysis | 18 |
| 1.1.3. Additional Assumptions | 19 |
| 1.2. Methodology | 19 |
| 1.2.1. Research Methods | 19 |
| 1.2.2. Report Structure | 20 |
| 1.2.3. Who Is This Report For? | 20 |
| 2. Executive Summary | 21 |
| 2.1. Major Findings | 21 |
| 2.2. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook – 2010-2014 | 25 |
| 2.3. Luggage and Air-Cargo Screening Technologies | 28 |
| 2.4. EDS Enhanced Air-Cargo Screening Outlook | 29 |
| 3. EDS Market – Drivers | 31 |
| 4. EDS Market – Inhibitors | 32 |
| 5. Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on EDS Market | 33 |
| 6. Current EDS Technologies | 35 |
| 6.1. Background | 35 |
| 6.2. Explosive Materials Classification | 36 |
| 6.3. Current Luggage, Carry-on Bags and Parcel Screening Technologies | 38 |
| 6.4. Bulk Screening – Current Technologies | 38 |
| 6.4.1. Current Bulk Threat Detection Systems’ Pros and Cons | 38 |
| 6.4.2. Throughput | 39 |
| 6.4.3. Present Tomographic EDS Technologies | 40 |
| 6.4.4. Threat Image Projection (TIP) | 46 |
| 6.4.5. Coherent Scatter EDS | 46 |
| 6.5. Luggage Screening | 48 |
| 6.5.1. Luggage Screening Systems Categories | 48 |
| 6.5.2. Existing Luggage Screening Systems Deployment Strategy | 49 |
| 6.5.3. Covert Testing Procedures of EDS Screened Checked Luggage | 51 |
| 6.5.4. S&T Directorate Actions in Luggage Screening | 52 |
| 6.6. Carry-on Bag Screening | 53 |
| 6.7. Air Cargo Screening | 54 |
| 6.7.1. Background | 54 |
| 6.7.2. Cargo Security Policy | 56 |
| 6.7.3. TSA Air Cargo Security Technology Pilot Tests | 60 |
| 6.7.4. Evaluating Air Cargo EDS Technology | 60 |
| 6.7.5. The Cost of 100% Air Cargo Screening | 61 |
| 7. The Transportation Security Administration | 63 |
| 8. TSA Checked Luggage EDS & ETD Screening Configurations | 66 |
| 8.1.1. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 1: High-Volume In-Line | 66 |
| 8.1.2. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 2: Medium-Volume In-Line | 69 |
| 8.1.3. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 3: Mini In-line Checked Luggage Screening System | 71 |
| 8.1.4. Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 4: Stand-Alone EDS | 75 |
| 8.1.5. Checked Luggage Screening Configuration – 5: Stand-Alone ETD (w/o EDS) | 77 |
| 8.1.6. Alarm Resolution | 78 |
| 9. EDS Certification | 79 |
| 10. Checked Luggage Screening Design Methodology | 80 |
| 10.1. Screening Zones Categorization | 80 |
| 10.2. Checked Luggage Screening Projects TSA Funding | 81 |
| 10.2.1. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Eligible for TSA Funding | 81 |
| 10.2.2. Types of Luggage Screening Projects That are Non- Eligible TSA Funded Projects | 81 |
| 10.2.3. The TSA Facility Modification Project Prioritization | 81 |
| 11. Tomographic EDS Market Outlook – 2010-2014 | 82 |
| 11.1. EDS Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 82 |
| 11.1.1. EDS Equipment Purchasing Prices | 82 |
| 11.1.2. EDS Equipment Market Outlook – 2010-2014 | 83 |
| 11.1.3. EDS Equipment Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 84 |
| 11.2. EDS Installation Costs Forecast – 2010-2014 | 87 |
| 11.2.1. EDS Installation Costs | 87 |
| 11.2.2. EDS Installation Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 88 |
| 11.3. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 89 |
| 11.3.1. Screening Equipment Refurbishment and Upgrade Costs | 89 |
| 11.3.2. EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 91 |
| 11.4. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 93 |
| 11.4.1. Building and Luggage Handling System Modifications Costs | 93 |
| 11.4.2. EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications Market Forecast | 94 |
| 11.5. EDS Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 97 |
| 11.5.1. EDS Service Costs | 97 |
| 11.5.2. EDS Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 98 |
| 11.6. Baggage Handling Systems [BHS] Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 100 |
| 11.6.1. Incremental Baggage Handling System Service Costs | 100 |
| 11.6.2. Baggage Handling Systems Service Market Forecast – 2010-2014 | 100 |
| 11.7. EDS Equipment Replacement Costs | 102 |
| 12. EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data | 103 |
| 12.1. Analogic – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data | 103 |
| 12.2. GE – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data | 104 |
| 12.3. L-3 – EDS Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data | 105 |
| 12.4. Reveal – Tomographic EDS: Products Performance and Pricing Comparison Data | 106 |
| 13. EDS Pricing Trends – 2010-2014 | 107 |
| 14. EDS Technology Outlook – 2010-2014 | 108 |
| 14.1. The Manhattan II Program | 108 |
| 14.2. 2009-2011 Pipeline EDS Products & Technologies | 108 |
| 14.3. Rapiscan High-Speed Stationary EDS | 109 |
| 14.4. Liquid and Homemade Explosives Detection | 110 |
| 14.5. MagVis Distinguishes Potential-Threat Liquids | 111 |
| 14.6. Superconducting Quantum Interference Device (SQUID) | 112 |
| 14.7. Quasi Tomographic EDS – 3D X-ray | 114 |
| 14.8. Gamma Resonance Tomography (GRT) | 115 |
| 14.9. Advanced Coherent X-ray Scattering EDS | 117 |
| 15. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges | 119 |
| 15.1. Introduction | 119 |
| 15.2. Business Opportunity #1 | 122 |
| 15.3. Business Opportunity #2 | 122 |
| 15.4. Business Opportunity #3 | 123 |
| 15.5. Business Opportunity #4 | 123 |
| 15.6. Business Opportunity #5 | 123 |
| 16. EDS Vendors | 124 |
| 16.1. GE Security and Sagem Sécurité (SAFRAN) | 124 |
| 16.2. Analogic Corporation | 126 |
| 16.3. L-3 Communications Security & Detection Systems | 129 |
| 16.4. Reveal Imaging Technologies, Inc | 130 |
| 16.5. Rapiscan Security Products, Inc. | 133 |
| 17. Appendix A: TSA Air Cargo Facility Regulations | 134 |
| 17.1. Introduction to Cargo Security | 134 |
| 17.2. Airport – Cargo Processing Facilities | 134 |
| 17.3. Operational Considerations | 134 |
| 17.4. Access Control Considerations | 135 |
| 17.5. Information and Requirement Resources | 136 |
| 18. Appendix B: TSA Checked Luggage Systems | 137 |
| 18.1. Background | 137 |
| 18.2. Applicable Regulations | 137 |
| 18.3. Protocols and Concept of Operations | 138 |
| 18.4. ETD and EDS Key Performance Characteristics | 138 |
| 19. Appendix C: Patent Review | 140 |
| 19.1. Scope | 140 |
| 19.2. Scatter & Coherent X-ray Patents Review | 140 |
| 19.3. Tomographic EDS Patent Review | 147 |
| 19.4. Luggage Inspection Infrastructure Patent Review | 152 |
| 20. Appendix D: Glossary | 156 |
List of Tables
Table 1 – USA Potential Targets Requiring EDS Screening
Table 2 – US EDS Related Markets [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 3 – US EDS Related Markets [$Million] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 4 – Current Explosives Detection Bulk Technologies – Pros and Cons
Table 5 – Explosives, Drugs, and Common “Interruption” Innocuous Materials
Table 6 – TSA Budget [$Million] and Its Aviation Security Component – 2001-2008
Table 7 – TSA Budget Structure
Table 8 – Potential High-Volume EDS Machines – Equipment Assumptions
Table 9 – Potential Medium-Volume EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 10 – Potential Mini In-Line EDS Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 11 – Potential Stand Alone EDS Machines – Equipment Assumptions
Table 12 – Potential ETD Machines-Equipment Assumptions
Table 13 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Analogic
Table 14 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: GE
Table 15 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: L-3
Table 16 – US Government Purchasing Prices for EDS: Reveal
Table 17 – EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Table 18 – EDS Equipment Market Share [%] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 19 – Components of Direct Installation Costs
Table 20 – Direct EDS & ETD Equipment Installation Cost by System Type
Table 21 – EDS Installation Market [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 22 – Revenues from Installation of Tomographic EDS in the US [%] – 2008-2014
Table 23 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – Analogic
Table 24 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – GE
Table 25 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – L-3
Table 26 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Options Pricing – Reveal
Table 27 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 28 – EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application – 2008-2014
Table 29 – Average Cost of Facility Modifications and Infrastructure by EDS & ETD Configuration
Table 30 – EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market – 2008-2014
Table 31 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008-2014
Table 32 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – Analogic
Table 33 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – GE
Table 34 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – L-3
Table 35 – EDS Annual Service Cost for EDS by Model – Reveal
Table 36 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Table 37 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Table 38 – Annual 1 Baggage Handling System Service Costs by Configuration
Table 39 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Table 40 – Baggage Handling System Service Market [%] by Application – 2008-2014
Table 41 – Infrastructure Modification Costs for EDS Replacement by Configuration
Table 42 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – Analogic
Table 43 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – GE
Table 44 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – L-3
Table 45 – EDS Technical Data and Costs Vendor – Reveal
Table 46 – Expected Availability Date of Pipeline EDS Products
Table 47 – ETD Geometrical & Power Consumption Specification Characteristics
Table 48 – EDS Baggage Size & Weight Specifications
List of Figures
Figure 1 – Airport Explosives Threats Vectors
Figure 2 – Air-Cargo Screening & Checked Luggagge Screening in the Ensemble of Airport Security Means
Figure 3 – Schematic Diagram of Checked Luggage Screening Levels
Figure 4 – Tomographic EDS Related Markets [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 5 – US Air Cargo and Other EDS Related Markets Outlook [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 6 – Pam Am 103 – Lockerbie, Scotland
Figure 7 – Explosive Materials Classification
Figure 8 – Tomographic EDS Principle of Operation
Figure 9 – “Classic” Whole-Object EDS Scheme
Figure 10 – Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-ray
Figure 11 – Dual Energy Z Map
Figure 12 – The Analogic XLB1100, Dual Energy Inline Large Bore EDS
Figure 13 – The GE CTX Machine
Figure 14 – Coherent X-ray Scheme
Figure 15 – Luggage-Parcel Screening and Explosives Detection Technologies
Figure 16 – “100% Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
Figure 17 – “Fractional Tomographic EDS” Screening Flow Scheme
Figure 18 – US Air Cargo Shipments: FAA Historic Data and Forecast (FY1999-FY2020)
Figure 19 – Flow of Cargo from Shipper to Air Carrier
Figure 20 – Screening Air Cargo Using Explosives Trace Detection and Loading It onto Passenger Aircraft
Figure 21 – TSA Organizational Model
Figure 22 – TSA 2008 Budget [%] Structure – 2008
Figure 23 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – 1
Figure 24 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -2
Figure 25 – Schematic Visualization of a Mini in-Line System
Figure 26 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration -3 Mini In-Line System with Light Integration
Figure 27 – Checked Luggage EDS Screening Configuration – a Stand-Alone EDS
Figure 28 – Schematic Visualization of a Stand-Alone ETD System
Figure 29 – EDS Throughput [BPH] vs. System Price [$K]
Figure 30 – EDS Equipment Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 31 – EDS Equipment Sales Structure [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 32 – EDS Installation Market [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 33 – EDS Market [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 34 – EDS Refurbishment and Upgrade Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 35 – EDS Refurbishment & Upgrade [%] Market Share by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 36 – EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [$Million] Market – 2008-2014
Figure 37 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 38 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 39 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 40 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 41 – Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 42 – Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS
Figure 43 – Stationary Gantry EDS
Figure 44 – The RTT Prototype X-ray Source
Figure 45 – The RTT EDS Prototype
Figure 46 – MagVis Images
Figure 47 – ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline
Figure 48 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Camera and Images
Figure 49 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
Figure 50 – EDS-GRT – System Configuration
Figure 51 – EDS-GRT – Air Cargo Container Inspection
Figure 52 – EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration
Figure 53 – DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
Figure 54 – Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E
Figure 55 – The EDS Performance Criteria 2008-2014
Figure 37 – Revenues from EDS Related Building & BHS Modifications [%] – 2008 & 2014
Figure 38 – EDS Service Market Forecast [$Million] – 2008-2014
Figure 39 – EDS Service Revenues [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 40 – Baggage Handling System Market [$Million] Outlook – 2008-2014
Figure 41 – Revenues from Handling System [%] by Application – 2008 & 2014
Figure 42 – Conventional Rotary Gantry EDS
Figure 43 – Stationary Gantry EDS
Figure 44 – The RTT Prototype X-ray Source
Figure 45 – The RTT EDS Prototype
Figure 46 – MagVis Images
Figure 47 – ULF-MRI RDT&E Program Timeline
Figure 48 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Camera and Images
Figure 49 – 3D Stereoscopic X-ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
Figure 50 – EDS-GRT – System Configuration
Figure 51 – EDS-GRT – Air Cargo Container Inspection
Figure 52 – EDS-GRT Small Cargo System Configuration
Figure 53 – DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
Figure 54 – Strategic Vision of TSA RDT&E
Figure 55 – The EDS Performance Criteria
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