Saudi Arabia Homeland Security Market Outlook – 2010-2018

February 2009

Revised Edition: Q1 2009, Pages: 206, Figures: 97, Tables: 38

General Information

Saudi Arabia: Homeland Security Market Research Report - 2010 - 2018

Saudi Arabia’s homeland security market is unlike any other in the world. It is the only country whose very survival is threatened by both internal (Al Qaeda and the Shia minority) and external (e.g. the threat of a nuclear Iran, the annual Hajj pilgrimage) forces. .

Recession or not, Saudi Arabia will continue to allocate all necessary resources to maintain and strengthen its highly effective Homeland Security – Homeland Defense infrastructure. With nearly unlimited monetary resources, the Kingdom has created a complex maze of 24 redundant Homeland Security – Homeland Defense organizations numbering more than 250,000 people.

This landmark report represents years of research, dozens of interviews, and in-depth analysis of thousands of documents. The result is a comprehensive roadmap of this huge and intriguing Homeland Security market.

Some highlights include:

  • Detailed deciphering of the complex multi-tier, inter-dependent, Saudi organizations, employing over 250,000 people, and devoted exclusively to HLS 18 HLS sub-segment market forecasts and analysis (e.g. Aviation Security, Counter-Terror Intel, Maritime, Saudi Oil & Gas Security, Ministry of Interior, Private Sector Security, IT)
  • Dozens of Saudi Arabian market business opportunities segmented by HLS industry (e.g. Intel, Cyber-Security, Perimeter Protection).
Table of Content

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Table of Content
1. Scope, Methodology and Assumptions 14
1.1. Scope 14
1.2. Saudi Terror Scenario Assumptions 2009-2018 15
1.3. Methodology 16
1.4. Important Notes 16
1.5. Terror Threats to the Saudi Kingdom 17
1.5.1. Terms of Reference 19
1.5.2. Reconciling Saudi Homeland Security (HLS) and Saudi Homeland Defense (HLD) 20
2. Executive Summary 22
2.1. Fact Sheet 22
2.2. Geopolitical Environment 23
2.3. The Saudi HLS-HLD Infrastructure 24
2.4. Major Findings 27
2.5. Major Conclusions 28
2.6. Major Forecasts 29
2.7. Saudi HLS-HLD Market Segments Outlook – 2009-2018 35
3. Saudi HLS-HLD Market Drivers 38
4. Saudi HLS-HLD Market Inhibitors 40
5. Saudi Arabia – Background 41
5.1. Country Profile 41
5.2. Political Structure 43
5.3. The Intra-Islamic Ideological Conflicts: Threats to the Kingdom 43
5.3.1. Saudi Perception of Regional Shia Influence 44
5.4. U.S. – Saudi HLS-HLD Partnership 47
5.5. Saudi Arabia Economy Outlook – 2009–2018 51
5.5.1. Impact of Saudi Budget Surplus on HLS-HLD Security Market 52
5.6. Saudi Defense Budget Outlook – 2009-2018 54
6. The Saudi Government HLS-HLD Organization 59
7. Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Market 62
7.1. Factors Shaping Saudi HLS–HLD Policy in 2008–2012 62
7.2. HLS-HLD Market Outlook – 2009-2018 62
7.3. Saudi Arabia Total HLS-HLD Market Outlook – 2007-2018 66
8. Ministry of Defense – HLD Market – 2008-2018 68
8.1. Saudi Arabia Army 68
8.2. Saudi Navy 68
8.3. The Saudi Air Force 69
9. Ministry of Interior – Counterterrorism Market: 2008-2018 71
9.1. The Saudi National Guard – Counterterrorism Market: 2009-2018 72
9.2. Paramilitary Forces 77
10. The Saudi Intelligence Community – Counterterrorism Market: 2009-2018 78
10.1. The General Intelligence Presidency 78
10.2. The Saudi Civil Intelligence 79
11. The Saudi Oil-Gas Industry Security Market – 2009-2018 83
11.1.1. Oil Exports 87
11.1.2. Major Oil-Gas Ports 87
11.1.3. Saudi Major Domestic Petroleum Pipelines 87
11.1.4. International Petroleum Pipelines 88
11.1.5. Oil-Gas Shipping 89
11.2. The Saudi Oil-Gas Industry Security Market – 2009-2018 89
12. Hajj (Pilgrimage): Annual Security Challenge – Business and Market Opportunities 92
12.1. The Hajj Security Strategy and Market Opportunities 95
12.2. What are the Main HLS Market Opportunities Associated with the Hajj? 95
13. Saudi Arabian Aviation Security Market Outlook – 2009-2018 96
13.1. Scope 96
13.2. Background 96
13.3. Major Findings 101
13.4. Saudi Aviation Security – Market Drivers 102
13.5. Saudi Aviation Security – Market Inhibitors 103
13.6. Saudi Arabian Aviation Security Market Outlook – 2009-2018 104
14. Saudi Arabian Maritime Security Market – 2009-2018 109
14.1. Scope 109
14.2. Maritime Security – Sub-Markets 110
14.3. Security of Oil Export Terminals 112
14.4. Saudi Maritime Security Market – Development Forecast 116
14.5. Saudi Maritime Security – Market Drivers 117
14.6. Saudi Maritime Security – Market Inhibitors 119
14.7. Saudi Arabian Maritime Security Market – 2009-2018 120
15. Saudi Arabian CBRN Mitigation Market Outlook – 2009-2018 123
15.1. Scope 123
15.2. Saudi Arabian CBRN Mitigation Market Investment Forecast – 2009-2018 124
15.3. Saudi CBRN Mitigation – Market Drivers 126
15.4. Saudi CBRN Mitigation – Market Inhibitors 127
15.5. Saudi Arabian CBRN Mitigation Market Outlook – 2009-2018 127
16. Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intelligence Community Market – 2009-2018 130
16.1. Scope 130
16.2. Major Findings 131
16.3. Saudi Intel. Community Market Drivers 132
16.4. Saudi Intel. Community Market Inhibitors 132
16.5. Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intelligence Community Market – 2009-2018 133
17. Saudi Arabia Border & Perimeter Security Market – 2009-2018 136
17.1. Scope 136
17.2. Perimeter Protection Market 137
17.2.1. Saudi Perimeter Protection Market 137
17.2.2. Saudi Border Protection Market 138
17.3. Saudi Border & Perimeter Security Market Drivers 141
17.4. Saudi Border & Perimeter Security Market Inhibitors 142
17.5. Saudi Arabia Border & Perimeter Security Market – 2009-2018 143
18. Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market – 2009-2018 146
18.1. Scope 146
18.2. Saudi HLS-HLD IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market Drivers 150
18.3. Saudi HLS-HLD IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market Inhibitors 150
18.4. Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market – 2009-2018 151
19. First Responders Market – 2009-2018 154
19.1. Scope 154
19.2. Saudi First Responders Market Drivers 157
19.3. Saudi First Responders Market Inhibitors 157
19.4. First Responders Market – 2009-2018 158
20. Critical Infrastructure Protection Market – 2009-2018 161
20.1. Scope 161
20.2. Fourteen (14) Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Sectors of Saudi Arabia in a Snapshot 164
20.2.1. Oil & Gas Industry 165
20.2.2. The Saudi Nuclear Energy Program 166
20.2.3. Water and Electric Utilities 167
20.2.4. Railway Transportation Security 167
20.2.5. Banking Sector 169
20.2.6. IT / Telecom Sector 169
20.3. Saudi Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Drivers 169
20.4. Saudi Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Inhibitors 170
20.5. Critical Infrastructure Protection Market – 2009-2018 171
21. Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD RFID & Biometrics Market – 2009-2018 174
21.1. Scope 174
21.2. Saudi RFID & Biometrics Market Drivers 176
21.3. Saudi RFID & Biometrics Market Inhibitors 177
21.4. Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD RFID & Biometrics Market – 2009-2018 177
22. Saudi Arabia Private Sector HLS Market Forecast 2009-2018 180
22.1. Scope 180
22.2. Seven Private Sector HLS Market Segments 181
22.2.1. Saudi Arabia Private Sector Electrical Utility Industry 181
22.2.2. Banking and Financial Industry 182
22.2.3. 2008-2018 Private Sector Security Business Opportunities 182
22.3. Saudi Private Sector HLS Market Drivers 184
22.4. Saudi Private Sector HLS Market Inhibitors 184
22.5. Saudi Arabia Private Sector HLS Market Forecast 2009-2018 184
23. Companies Active in Saudi HLS-HLD Market 188
23.1. BAE Systems plc 188
23.2. The Boeing Company 189
23.3. Raytheon Company 189
23.4. EADS N.V. 190
23.5. Finmeccanica S.p.A. 190
23.6. Thales Group 191
23.7. Lockheed Martin 191
23.8. L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc. 192
23.9. Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) 193
23.10. General Dynamics Corporation 193
24. Appendix A: Saudi Arms Deals 194
24.1. Saudi Arabia: U.S. Arms Sales 194
24.2. Saudi Arabia: UK Arms Sales 196
24.3. Total Arms Purchases by Saudi Arabia – 1999 – 2006 197
25. Appendix B: Key Contacts in the Saudi Bio-Defense Market 198
26. Appendix C – Doing Business in Saudi Arabia 200
26.1. Direct Exports 200
26.2. Export Documentation Requirements 200
26.3. Customs Duties 201
26.4. Commercial Agents 201
26.5. Franchising 202
26.6. Branch Offices 202
26.7. Direct Foreign Investment 202
26.8. Licensed Insurers 203
26.9. Taxation 203
26.9.1. Residents and Non-residents Taxation (Personal) 203
26.9.2. Corporation Tax 203
26.9.3. Zakat (religious wealth tax) 203
26.10. Useful Websites 203
List of Tables
Table 1 – Saudi Arabia GDP and Defense Outlay Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 2 – Saudi Government and Private Sector HLS. HLD and Counter Terror Intel Outlay [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 3 – Saudi Government and Private Sector HLS-HLD Market Outlook by Sector
Table 4 – HLS-HLD Market Forecast [$B] by Ten Sub Markets – 2008-2018
Table 5 – Budget Allocations to Critical Infrastructure Sectors [$M] –
Table 6 – Saudi Arabia Defense and HLD Outlays [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 7 – Saudi Arabia Defense and HLD Outlays as [%] of GDP
Table 8 – Saudi Arabia Government and Private Sector HLS, HLD and Counter Terror Intel. Outlay [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 9 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Outlays as [%] of “Total Defense” Outlay – 2007-2018
Table 10 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Market Sectors Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 11 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Market Sectors as [%] of Saudi HLS-HLD Outlay
Table 12 – Saudi Military Airfields
Table 13 – The Saudi Armed Forces HLD Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Table 14 – The Saudi Ministry of Interior HLD Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Table 15 – The Saudi National Guard HLS Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Table 16 – Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intelligence Services Outlay [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 17 – Saudi Arabia Intelligence Community HLS Outlay and Market as [%] of GDP
Table 18 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector Oil-Gas Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 19 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector Oil-Gas Market as [%] of HLS-HLD Market
Table 20 – Saudi Civil Airfields
Table 21 – Seven Saudi Arabian Aviation Security Market Sub-Sectors – Market Prospects Snapshot
Table 22 – Saudi Arabia Aviation Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 23 – Total Cargo Handled in All Saudi Ports in 2007, [Million Metric Tons]
Table 24 – Saudi Arabia Maritime Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 25 – Saudi Arabia – Population Distribution In Major Cities
Table 26 – Saudi Arabia CBRN Mitigation Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 27 – Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intelligence Community Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 28 – Saudi Arabia Border & Perimeter Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 29 – Snapshot of Saudi Society in Information Age – 2008 Data
Table 30 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD IT Cybersecurity and Software Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 31 – Saudi Arabia First Responder’s Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 32 – Criteria for Prioritizing Budgets for CIP
Table 33 – A Snapshot of the 14 Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Sectors of Saudi Arabia
Table 34 – Saudi Arabia Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 35 – Saudi Arabia RFID & Biometrics HLS Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 36 – Seven Private Sector HLS Market Segments
Table 37 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector HLS Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Table 38 – Total Arms Purchases by Saudi Arabia ($M) – 1999-2006

 

List of Figures
Figure 1 – The Four Terror Threat Categories
Figure 2 – The Saudi HLS-HLD Interplay
Figure 3 – Saudi Arabia – Fact Sheet
Figure 4 – HLS-HLD National Outlay per Capita [$/Year] Saudi Arabia vs. the USA and the EU – 2008
Figure 5 – Three Tiers of Saudi HLS-HLD Infrastructure
Figure 6 – HLS-HLD Cumulative Market [$B] Saudi Arabia vs. USA., UK, China and Germany – 2007-2018
Figure 7 – HLS-HLD Market as [%] of GDP: Saudi Arabia vs. USA, UK, China and Germany – 2007
Figure 8 – HLS-HLD Market as [%] of GDP: Saudi Arabia vs. USA, UK, China and Germany – 2018
Figure 9 – Total HLS-HLD Market [$B] by Segments – 2009-2018
Figure 10 – Total HLS-HLD 10 Market Segments CAGR [%] – 2008-2018
Figure 11 – Saudi Arabia – Map
Figure 12 – Saudi Arabia – Country Profile – 2007
Figure 13 – Saudi Budget Surplus
Figure 14 – Saudi Government Budget Spending – 2000-2008
Figure 15 – Saudi Domestic Debt
Figure 16 – Saudi Arabia Defense and HLD Outlay Outlook [%]
Figure 17 – Saudi Arabia GDP [$T] Outlook – 2008-2018
Figure 18 – Saudi Arabia Defense & HLD Outlay [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 19 – Saudi Arabia Defense & HLD Outlay as [%] of GDP
Figure 20 – The Saudi 8-Tiered Terror Mitigation Responsibilities
Figure 21 – The Saudi Government HLS-HLD Org. Chart
Figure 22 – Saudi Government and Private Sector HLS, HLD and Counter Terror Intel. Outlay by Sector – 2008, 2018
Figure 23 – Saudi Arabia Government & Private Sector HLS-HLD Outlay [$B] by Sector – 2007-2018 Outlook
Figure 24 – Saudi Arabia Government and Private Sector HLS-HLD Market by Sectors 2008, 2018 Outlook
Figure 25 – Saudi Arabia Government & Private Sector HLS-HLD Outlay as [%] of Saudi Arabia “Total Defense” – 2007-2018 Outlook
Figure 26 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Markets [$B] by Activity – 2008-2018 Outlook
Figure 27 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD Sectors as [%] of Saudi HLS-HLD Outlay
Figure 28 – The Saudi Armed Forces HLD Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Figure 29 – The Saudi Ministry of Interior HLD Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Figure 30 – The Saudi National Guard HLS Outlay and Markets Outlook [$B] – 2008-2018
Figure 31 – The Structure of the Saudi General Intelligence Presidency
Figure 32 – Saudi Arabia Intel. Community Services Outlay Outlook
Figure 33 – Saudi Arabia Intel. Community Counter Terror Outlay [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 34 – Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intel. Outlay as [%] of GDP
Figure 35 – Saudi Arabia VS. U.S. Crude Oil Production 1960-2010
Figure 36 – Oil Prices, 1994 – March 2008
Figure 37 – Saudi Oil and Gas Fields
Figure 38 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector Oil-Gas Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 39 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector Oil-Gas Market as [%] of HLS Market
Figure 40 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector Oil-Gas Market as [%] of HLS-HLD Market
Figure 41 – Muslim Pilgrims Circle the Holy Kaaba in Mecca
Figure 42 – Budget Allocation to Saudi Aviation [$M] – 2002-2008
Figure 43 – The Saudi Civil Airports Map
Figure 44 – Saudi Aviation Security Threats Mitigation and Targets – 2018
Figure 45 – Multi-Modal People Screening Technology – Artist Perception
Figure 46 – King Khaled International Airport
Figure 47 – Saudi Aviation Security Market – SWOT Analysis
Figure 48 – Saudi Aviation Security Market Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 49 – Saudi Arabia Aviation Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 50 – Budget Allocation to Saudi Seaports [$M] – 2002-2008
Figure 51 – Total Cargo Handled in All Saudi Ports in 2007
Figure 52 – Ras Tanura Oil Export Terminal – One of the World’s Oil Choke Points
Figure 53 – A Saudi LNG Terminal
Figure 54 – Global Maritime Oil Flows and Strategic Shipping Chokepoints
Figure 55 – X VLCC Takayama after Attack in the Gulf of Aden
Figure 56 – Maritime Containers Security “Food Chain”
Figure 57 – Strait of Hormuz – World Oil Transit Chokepoint
Figure 58 – Strait of Hormuz – Width at Narrowest Point 21 Miles
Figure 59 – Saudi Maritime Security Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 60 – Saudi Maritime Security Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 61 – Saudi Arabia Maritime Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 62 – CBRN Mitigation Market
Figure 63 – Casualties from Nuclear and Biological Release
Figure 64 – Saudi CBRN Mitigation Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 65 – Saudi CBRN Mitigation Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 66 – Saudi Arabia CBRN Mitigation Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 67 – Saudi Intelligence Community Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 68 – Saudi Intelligence Community Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 69 – Saudi Arabia Counter Terror Intelligence Community Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 70 – Perimeter of the Dhahran International Airport
Figure 71 – Saudi Arabia – Yemen Border
Figure 72 – Border & Perimeter Protection on Combined Use of Physical Barriers and Surveillance & Electronic Detection Means
Figure 73 – Saudi Borders & Premier Security Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 74 – Saudi Border & Perimeter Security Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 75 – Saudi Arabia Borders and Perimeter Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 76 – Saudi Telecom Roadmap
Figure 77 – Establishing Saudi CERT (Computer Emergency Readiness Team)
Figure 78 – Saudi IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 79 – Saudi Cybersecurity and Software Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 80 – Saudi Arabia HLS-HLD IT, Cybersecurity and Software Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 81 – Saudi 1st Responders Require Oil-Gas Incidence-Specific Means and Methods
Figure 82 – Saudi First Responders Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 83 – Saudi First Responders Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 84 – Saudi Arabia First Responder Security Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 85 – The Layered Critical Infrastructure Protection
Figure 86 – Saudi Landbridge Project
Figure 87 – Mecca-Medinah Rail Project
Figure 88 – Saudi Critical Infrastructure Protection Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 89 – Saudi Critical Infrastructure Protection Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 90 – Saudi Arabia Critical Infrastructure Protection Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
Figure 91 – Active RFID Tag
Figure 92 – Saudi RFID & Biometrics Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 93 – Saudi RFID & Biometrics Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 95 – Saudi Private Sector Market SWOT Analysis
Figure 96 – Saudi Private Sector Market – Competitiveness Analysis
Figure 97 – Saudi Arabia Private Sector HLS Market Outlook [$B] – 2007-2018
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